US Elections – analyzing data to predict result in November 2020 – The Economist

Forecasting the US elections

The Economist is analysing polling, economic and demographic data to predict America’s elections in 2020

The Economist has just launched its first-ever statistical forecast of a US presidential election. Using machine-learning techniques to combine polls with fundamental factors, such as the economy and presidential approval ratings, it estimates Joe Biden’s and Donald Trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall.

It is the first model to correct for differences in the willingness of supporters of each party to talk to pollsters. The model’s projections are updated daily to reflect the latest available data.

READ MORE: https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president?

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Comments

  • the only  On June 25, 2020 at 11:58 am

    This is a job for GECOM.

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