US POLITICS: Trump will have a powerful voice, even if he loses – says CFR president

President of CFR Richard Haass

President of the Council for Foreign Relations (CFR), Richard Haass has posited that even if the result of the US 2020 Presidential Election goes in the seeming direction with Democratic nominee, Joe Biden becoming President, Republican nominee and current President Donald Trump will still hold considerable political power and influence long after he cedes his office. The New York-based think tank made this assessment in its Election 2020 series.

Haas said that Trump is probably going to have considerable influence in choosing the Republican party’s nominee for the US 2024 Presidential election, and that “Trumpism” will remain a powerful force in America.       

Over the weekend, several US media houses called the election in favour of Biden after they determined that he had gotten commanding vote leads ahead of Trump in enough states to guarantee him the majority needed at the Electoral College.

CFR’s President posited that despite what appears to be political efforts to disenfranchise persons who voted by mail in areas likely to grant majority support to the Democrats, America’s democracy is “robust”.

Up until the 2020 election, Obama could have boasted securing the most votes ever in the country’s Presidential Election with a record 69,498,516 votes – Biden’s vote count as of the writing of this article was upwards of 74 million.

However, Haas says there has been no “blue wave”, no commanding political realignment Democrats may have hoped for. Biden may have broken Obama’s record, but Trump surpassed it too with over 70 million votes. This happened, Haass said, even against the backdrop of what he calls Trump’s “mishandling” of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The country has already recorded 10.1 million COVID-19 cases, with more than 238,000 ending up dead – nearly a fifth of all deaths worldwide. Haass sought to proffer that America is a deeply divided nation, judging from the high voter turnout nearly split between the two men.

“Americans increasingly dwell in separate worlds.” Haass wrote. “They have sorted themselves into communities and regions with those of similar views. Each world tends to watch its own cable television channels, listen to its own radio stations and podcasts, and visit its own websites. And the absence of a national civics curriculum facilitates sorting across generations.”

Even if Biden goes on to be President, CFR is of the view that the government will be divided. Haas determined that the Democrats would take the White House and retain the House of Representatives, with Republicans keeping control of the Senate.
“They will have to coexist; whether they can work together remains to be seen,” he said.

CFR is of the opinion that many of Trump’s supporters will refuse to accept a Biden presidency as legitimate, and that it is quite possible Trump will never concede the race. Trump has claimed victory on Twitter, though no publication has called the election in his favour. His campaign has also cast aspersions on the integrity of the electoral process, yet but has provided no proof.

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Comments

  • kamtanblog  On November 10, 2020 at 3:43 am

    Disagree !
    Post mortive speculation.
    History !
    Life goes on regardless CorV or not
    Win or loose ! That’s life !

    The urangutan has many options open to him.
    1.Moscow with other traitor Snowden
    where no extradition treaty exists with USA
    2. Brazil where no extradition treaty exists wi
    any other country.
    3. Remain in USA and have another go in 2024.

    With 3 risk of incarceration high risk !

    My gut feeling is he may move to Moscow where his friend Putin will guarantee KGB
    protection.

    To early to speculate/conclude next decision by
    the unpredictable urangutan.
    An injured wild animal is more dangerous when
    cornered.

    Not holding my breadth on what next !

    Kamtan uk-ex-EU

  • brandli62  On November 10, 2020 at 7:34 am

    Trumpism is a cancer that is corroding the core of American democracy. The Republican Party still cannot accept that Joe Biden won the elections with a popular vote of more than 4 million votes ahead of Trump and the number is still growing. Just four Republican senators, Romney, Collins, Murkowski, and Sasse, had the decency to congratulate Joe Biden for their victory. It has become a pattern on the Republican side that failure cannot be. It’s the result of living a media bubble that suggests that they are always winning.

  • Richard Lewis  On November 10, 2020 at 1:54 pm

    Kamptam you forgot one other option open to the orangutan and that is suicide.

    • kamtanblog  On November 11, 2020 at 1:24 pm

      My friend….
      Suicide is too easy/soft an option for
      Jesus aka god ! Hitler acknowledged
      defeat ! Urangutan will never concede.
      Bullies never do !

  • Clyde Duncan  On November 11, 2020 at 1:05 pm

    Mary Trump on the End of Uncle Donald: All He Has Now is Breaking Things

    Mary Trump, as told to Jude Rogers | The Guardian UK

    THIS IS HOW THE MOST COLOSSAL AND FRAGILE EGO ON THE PLANET DEALS WITH LOSING THE US ELECTION: HE DOES NOT DEAL WITH IT AT ALL.

    MY UNCLE’S SPEECH LATE ON ELECTION NIGHT WASN’T JUST ENTIRELY MENDACIOUS FROM BEGINNING TO END. It was also deeply dangerous. It is one thing for random Republicans to call a legitimate election into question, but this was the head of the government. The consequences of that action should not be underestimated.

    THIS IS WHAT DONALD’S GOING TO DO: HE IS NOT GOING TO CONCEDE, ALTHOUGH WHO CARES. What is worse is he’s not going to engage in the normal activities that guarantee a peaceful transition. All he’s got now is breaking stuff, and he’s going to do that with a vengeance. I’ve always known how cruel he can be. Shortly after the 2016 election, when I’d see him being particularly cruel, I would think about how he treated my father [Fred Trump Jr, Donald’s older brother, who died of alcoholism at 43].

    My Uncle took away our family health insurance after his father, my grandfather, died – this was when my nephew needed round-the-clock nursing care, which we then couldn’t afford. That is the kind of man he is.

    HE WILL BE HAVING MELTDOWNS UPON MELTDOWNS RIGHT NOW. He has never been in a situation like this before. What’s interesting is that Donald has never won anything legitimately in his entire life, but because he has been so enabled by people along the way, he has never lost anything either.

    He is the kind of person who thinks that even if you steal and cheat to win, you deserve to win.

    BUT THERE IS SOME POETIC JUSTICE HERE BECAUSE HE HAS BEEN CHEATING FOR MONTHS. Now his tactics are coming back to bite him. He told Republicans not to vote by mail and they didn’t, but the result is he has been experiencing this slow drip-drip of disaster over the past few days. Oh, you have these huge margins! Now your margins are shrinking. Oh, Joe Biden’s ahead. Now his margins are growing. It must have been like slow torture, but he set up this failure for himself.

    The fact that the Republicans have done better than expected in Congress and the Senate will have made him extraordinarily angry. It means that people were voting against Donald Trump in this election, but not necessarily against this party. That will have added so much salt to his narcissistic wounds.

    Also, his supporters are going away. From what I understand, the thing that really ruined his election night was Fox News – his safe zone – calling Arizona days earlier than everyone else. That burst his bubble.

    Then Twitter was flagging all his posts and deleting them, and other more legitimate news outlets were cutting away from his speeches. But this begs the question: why weren’t they doing this a month ago, or even four years ago, before the last election?

    It is good this is happening now because maybe the next two-and-half months won’t be the nightmare we expect, but it’s too late.

    I worry about what Donald’s going to do in that time to lash out. He will go as far as he can to delegitimise the new administration, then he’ll pass pardons that will demoralise us, and sign a flurry of executive orders. Remember, he will also still be in charge of the US response to the pandemic. There could be a million Americans dead by then under his watch.

    After January, things look bleak for Donald. He has more than $400m of debt coming in the next four years. Why at this point would his lenders cut him any slack? He has never paid anyone back. His businesses are in the tank. He has destroyed his brand.

    HE IS GOING TO BE A FACTOR IN COURTROOMS IN NEW YORK CITY MORE THAN HE’S GOING TO BE A FACTOR IN POLITICS, I THINK.

    His secretary of defence has already submitted his resignation, and I think there will be more of that. The Republicans might need him for the January run-offs in Georgia, but he could be considered a liability. If he’s acting like a crazy person, senators are going to keep their distance. People will move away from him if there’s nothing in it for them any more.

    It is not like he has any friends, anyway. It’s grim for him. Donald Jr, Ivanka and Eric also know their relationship with their father is both conditional and transactional.

    I HAVE BEEN SAYING SINCE 2016 THAT I WAS GOING TO HAVE TO CHANGE MY NAME. I THINK THEY’RE GOING TO HAVE TO CHANGE THEIRS

    As for saying he’ll run in 2024, that’s just a face-saving exercise. It’s a way of distracting him from the fact that he’s probably going to prison.

    BUT THE WORST THING DONALD’S LOOKING AT ISN’T FINANCIAL DIFFICULTIES OR THE PROSPECT OF JAIL. IT IS BECOMING IRRELEVANT. I DON’T THINK HE WOULD EVER RECOVER FROM THAT.

    Mary Trump is a psychologist and author of Too Much and Never Enough

    • kamtanblog  On November 11, 2020 at 1:29 pm

      Russia or Brazil his other options.
      Suicide not one. Bullies never surrender.

      Hitler acknowledged defeat and chose
      that option.!!!

      RIP

  • Clyde Duncan  On November 11, 2020 at 5:37 pm

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