Guyana Elections 2020: Region Four count to decide Elections results -UPDATED – APNU/AFC Wins Region 4

GECOM releases result for Region Four, says APNU+AFC won by 59,077 votes

The Guyana Elections Commission (GECOM) has released to the media, results for Region Four in the General and Regional Elections and if certified would see the incumbent APNU+AFC winning the general elections by around 7,000 votes .

Public Relations Officer Yolanda Ward forwarded without comment images of Statutory Declaration Form 24. The Form shows the incumbent APNU+AFC securing 136,335 votes while the Opposition People’s Progressive Party/Civic has earned 77,258 a difference of 59,077.

Assuming that these results and those for the other nine regions are mirrored at the General Elections the incumbent would have won the elections by in excess of 7,000 votes or one seat.

Notably Ward released the information almost one hour after the Returning Officer for Region 4 Clairmont Mingo was served with an injunction preventing him from declaring results without completing a verification process which has been stalled all day.

It is unclear what the next step in this tumultuous process would be. There has been no word from the GECOM Chair Justice Claudette Singh on the declaration of a final result.
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Region Four count to decide Elections results  – RESULTS  FOR OTHER REGIONS BELOW

The results for the regional elections have been declared by the returning officers of nine regions, save for Region Four.

Table showing the regional election results for nine regions. Region Four is yet to be included.

These results show that the election has become a two-party race between the People’s Progressive Party Civic (PPP/C) and A Partnership for National Unity + Alliance For Change (APNU+AFC). The other parties have recorded mostly dismal performances for the regions in which they contested.       

For those nine regions, the PPP/C has taken a commanding lead. What is now necessary is for APNU+AFC to outperform its 2015 performance in Region Four if it is to overtake the PPP/C. In 2015, the coalition secured 43,000 votes more that the PPPC in Region Four.

Kaieteur News has observed stark differences in these two parties’ performances in certain regions in this year, from their 2015 performances. Some of those regions have also registered considerable turnout increases. Those increases may be attributed to the growth of the Official List of Electors (OLE).

In 2015, the OLE held 570,786 voters. Now, the OLE stands at 661,378. That’s a startling net increase of 90,592 voters.

For nine regions, leaving out Region Four, the PPP/C leads by 51,439 votes. In the regional vote, PPP/C won Region One with a margin of victory of 4,157. In 2015, that margin was 3,565.

PPP/C won Region Two with a margin of victory of 11,459 votes. In 2015, that margin was 8,809.
PPP/C won Region Three with a margin of victory of 24,066 votes. In 2015, that margin was 19,641.
PPP/C won Region Five with a margin of victory of 3,788 votes. In 2015, that margin was 3,270.
PPP/C won Region Six with a margin of victory of 22,870 votes. In 2015, that margin was 17,570.
PPP/C won Region Nine with a margin of victory of 2,239 votes. In 2015, that margin was 2,211.
The PPP/C expanded its margins of victory in all of those regions.

As for APNU+AFC, it won three out of the nine regions. APNU+AFC won Region Seven with a margin of victory of 1,144 votes. In 2015, that margin was 1,560.

APNU+AFC won Region Eight by a margin of victory of 45 votes. In 2015, the margin of victory was one vote.

APNU+AFC won Region Ten by a margin of victory of 15,951 votes. In 2015, that margin was 13,908.

To sum up the nine regions, the PPP/C took an almost decisive margin of victory of 51,439 votes. In 2015, that margin stood at 39,644.

Kaieteur News stresses that the results provided are for the regional election, not the general election.

While the parties’ general and regional elections performances tend to differ, the differences are usually marginal. Hence, these results present a fair idea of how the parties have performed in the general election as well.

Everything now boils down to Region Four, the final and most populous district.

In 2015, APNU+AFC won the regional election for Region Four, with a margin of victory of 42,271 votes.

In such a scenario, were it to maintain that difference this time around, it would not be enough to allow APNU+AFC to overhaul PPPC. The party would need to extend its margin of victory to 51,440 votes in Region Four.

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Updated 5th March at 5:30pm: Declared 2020 regional election results

Posted by: Denis Chabrol in Demerara Waves – March 5, 2020

This story is developing still…

The Returning Officers have declared the election results for the votes cast in all ten administrative regions: District One (Barima-Waini), District Two (Pomeroon-Supenaam), District Three (Essequibo Islands-West Demerara), District Four (Demerara-Mahaica), District Five (Mahaica-Berbice), District Six (East Berbice-Corentyne), District Seven (Cuyuni-Mazaruni), District Eight (Potaro-Siparuni), District Nine (Upper Takatu-Upper Essequibo) and District Ten (Upper Demerara-Upper Berbice).

The Regional votes mirror closely what the national results are expected to be.

According to law, the results for the votes cast for the General Elections will be declared by the Chief Elections Officer of the Guyana Elections Commission (GECOM), Keith Lowenfield.

Based upon the Regional results reported so far, the total votes cast for each party are as follows:

  • A Partnership for National Unity and Alliance for Change (APNU+AFC) – 237,004
  • People’s Progressive Party Civic (PPPC) – 229,344
  • Change Guyana (CG) – 3,155
  • Liberty and Justice Party (LJP) – 2,244
  • United Republic Party (URP) – 479
  • People’s Republic Party (PRP) – 438
  • Organisation for Victory of the People (OVP) – 117

The Regional breakdown is as follows:

DISTRICT 1 – Barima/Waini
PPPC – 7,996
APNU+AFC – 3,839
LJP – 145
URP – 77
Total votes cast: 12,057
Total eligible voters: 18,952

DISTRICT 2 – Pomeroon/Supenaam
APNU+AFC – 7,293
PPPC – 18,752
CG – 2,117
LJP – 135
URP – 95
Total votes cast: 28,392 or 70 percent
Total eligible voters: 37,979

DISTRICT 3 – Essequibo Islands/West Demerara (Not yet declared)
APNU+AFC – 23,811
PPPC – 47,855
Total votes cast: 71,666

DISTRICT 4 – Demerara/Mahaica
APNU+AFC – 136,335
PPPC – 77,258
CG – 913
LJP – 757
PRP – 383
OVP – 117
URP – 91
Total votes cast: 215,854

DISTRICT 5 – Mahaica/West Berbice
PPPC – 18,263
APNU+AFC – 14,475
CG – 125
URP – 60
PRP – 55
Total votes cast: 32,978

DISTRICT 6 – East Berbice/Corentyne
PPPC – 43,220
APNU+AFC – 20,350
Total votes cast: 63,570

DISTRICT 7 – Cuyuni/Mazaruni
APNU+AFC – 4,836
PPPC – 3,692
Liberty and Justice Party – 925
United Republic Party – 62
Total votes cast: 9,515
Total eligible voters: 14,877

DISTRICT 8 – Potaro/Siparuni
APNU+AFC – 2,086
PPPC – 2,041
United Republic Party – 39
Total votes cast: 28,558

District 9 – Upper Takatu/Upper Essequibo
PPPC – 7,065
APNU+AFC – 4,826
LJP – 282
URP – 55
Total Votes Cast: 12,228

DISTRICT 10 – Upper Demerara/Upper Berbice
APNU+AFC – 19,153
PPPC – 3,202
Total votes cast: 22,355

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Comments

  • Bridgit Sam-Bailey  On March 5, 2020 at 11:38 am

    OMG, is this for real? What is the total population of Guyana?

    BridgIt Sam-Bailey

    Sent from my iPad

    >

  • Clyde Duncan  On March 6, 2020 at 9:34 am

    Hamley Case Wrote:

    The Oil Now report on the election results probably reflects the attitude of the oil and gas fraternity. Namely, it is business as usual. However, the situation on the ground is far from settled and there likely will be more trouble today and onwards for a while.

    Because the nation is so polarised racially, the vast majority of Afro- Guyanese believe and support the coalition while the Indo- Guyanese believe the PPP.

    Neither camp will give an inch because of entrenched racism and oil greed. How this will end is anyone’s guess. When things will get back to normal is also anyone’s guess. I’m staying quiet in my corner as I watch and wait for developments that make sense and point the way forward. More later.

  • Clyde Duncan  On March 6, 2020 at 9:38 am

    Bridgit Sam-Bailey: The population of Guyana in 2017 was 777,859

    That means per capita, the people RICH – RICH – RICH

  • Clyde Duncan  On March 6, 2020 at 9:52 am

    OIL NOW Report: Coalition Takes Lead in Guyana Elections Amid Controversy Over Credibility of Results

    A controversial declaration of the District 4 results in Guyana’s elections show that the incumbent APNU+AFC coalition is on course to win by approximately 8,000 votes, amounting to about a 1-SEAT MAJORITY.

    District 4, the most populous Region in Guyana, was the last to be tallied but the verification process of the Statements Of Poll (SOP) which reflects the votes at each Polling Station, was not completed.

    These results show the incumbent APNU+AFC Coalition getting 136,458 of the valid votes cast in general elections compared to 77,329 votes secured by the opposition People’s Progressive Party/Civic (PPP/C), representing a difference of 59,129 votes.

    However, the PPP/C has said that based on its own tabulation of the votes reflected on the SOPs, they would be on course to win the elections by around 18,000 votes, amounting to a 2-SEAT MAJORITY.

    THE US, UK, CANADA, EU AND OBSERVER MISSIONS ALL SAY THE DISTRICT 4 RESULTS LACK CREDIBILITY.

    The Carter Centre, which has been observing elections in Guyana since 1992, said it is deeply concerned about the events that took place Thursday at the Office of the Returning Officer for Region 4 and the decision to announce results that had not been verified.

    “Up until today, the electoral process has been a remarkably transparent one with well-administered procedures on election day that provided an opportunity for the Guyanese people to express their will. Today, however, the tabulation process that had been taking place in Region 4 was circumvented, critically undermining transparency and preventing international observers and political parties from observing tabulation. As a result, the election results released today for Region 4 are NOT credible,” the Carter Centre said.

    The PPP/C has filed injunctions aimed at ultimately blocking the official declaration of results by the Guyana Elections Commission (GECOM), which ultimately leads to the swearing in of the president.

    The stakes are high in this critical election which come in wake of Guyana becoming an oil producer last December. More than 8 billion barrels of oil have been found off the country’s coast since 2015 and it has been estimated that by 2030, the government would be receiving around US$10B in revenue.

  • Clyde Duncan  On March 6, 2020 at 10:02 am

    INVESTORS SHOULD HEED THE WISDOM OF A FOOTBALL MANAGER

    John McDuling | The Sydney Morning Herald

    Jurgen Klopp, the manager of Liverpool Football Club, was asked in a press conference midweek whether he was worried about the spread of COVID-19 and the potential impact of the outbreak on his high-flying team.

    Jurgen Klopp did something famous people seem less and less inclined to do these days, dismissed the question, citing a lack of expertise on the underlying issue.

    “Look, what I don’t like in life is that for a very serious thing, a football manager’s opinion is important. I don’t understand it,” Klopp told reporters.

    “It’s not important what famous people say. You have to speak about things in the right manner. Not people with no knowledge, like me, talking about something.”

    This advice – or non-advice – should be helpful for all of us. But it should
    resonate particularly strongly with investors as financial markets crumble.

    While this has taken place, economists and fund managers have been more than happy to come forward with predictions on how bad the virus might be, from both market and societal perspective. They have also obliged with advice for policymakers on what they think is the best course of action.

    The reality is this is just noise. THIS IS A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS, NOT A FINANCIAL MARKETS CRISIS. And it is a crisis that will ultimately be solved by scientists, doctors and public health officials, NOT politicians or central bankers. Let alone fund managers or football coaches.

    NONE OF THIS IS TO DOWNPLAY THE SERIOUSNESS OF THE COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS, OF COURSE. In fact, quite the opposite. The Australian government has activated its pandemic response and this week extended its existing travel ban to South Korea. As the head of the World Health Organisation put it overnight: “THIS IS NOT A DRILL.”

    The point is, in uncertain times like these, and in an age of growing misinformation online, it is important to listen to the right people with the right credentials. Doing otherwise can lead to bad outcomes, such as people hoarding toilet paper during the spread of an infectious virus that causes respiratory illness.

    It could be tempting at this point for someone like me to argue that the best thing for most ordinary investors to do right now is sit tight. If superannuation is your primary savings vehicle and you are making set contributions that flow into shares or other securities, “dollar-cost averaging” should reduce your risk, at least in theory. Put simply, it means you buy more when prices are low and less when prices are high.

    BUT I AM A BUSINESS JOURNALIST. YOU SHOULD INSTEAD TALK TO A QUALIFIED FINANCIAL ADVISER.

    AND MORE IMPORTANTLY HEED THE WARNINGS FROM THE RELEVANT HEALTH AUTHORITIES ON HEALTH MATTERS.

  • Veda Nath Mohabir  On March 6, 2020 at 3:02 pm

    Repeat:

    “THE US, UK, CANADA, EU AND OBSERVER MISSIONS ALL SAY THE DISTRICT 4 RESULTS LACK CREDIBILITY.
    The Carter Centre, which has been observing elections in Guyana since 1992, said it is deeply concerned about the events that took place Thursday at the Office of the Returning Officer for Region 4 and the decision to announce results that had not been verified.
    “Up until today, the electoral process has been a remarkably transparent one with well-administered procedures on election day that provided an opportunity for the Guyanese people to express their will. Today, however, the tabulation process that had been taking place in Region 4 was circumvented, critically undermining transparency and preventing international observers and political parties from observing tabulation. As a result, the election results released today for Region 4 are NOT credible,” the Carter Centre said.
    …………….
    This is not the only time this cheating is happening. It started sin1968 under Mr. Burnham. But more recently, This Granger (PNC) Gov’t has been illegal since they assumed office following the 2015 elections; and despite losing a Non Confidence vote (Dec 2018) and the Caribbean Court of Appeal decision against them they have remained in office.

    Why do I say they are illegal since 2015? Audit this GECOM worksheet. I found earlier that there were three errors. Here are two (forgot which is the other one and don’t have time to look it over).

    In Region 3, the PPP votes are understated by 200. Reason? The Horizontal and vertical totals as posted are overstated by the 200.

    Look also at Region 6, it is understated by 70 votes.

    No computer program will give such errors. These errors and likely many other plugged in figures mean the official published figures were plugged-in to create a worksheet to give a win for APNU(PNC)+AFC. And, Granger had the nerve to say, when he was declaring himself the winner that “The Lord Has Given Us This BLESSED DAY”. Clearly it is not the same Lord that all other Guyanese and others around the world have.

    So, the reigning APNU+AFC gov’t has been illegal all the time. And they know they have the thugs, army and police behind them, so they will steadfastly illegally hold on to power.

    http://www.guyana.org/Elections/elections_2015.html
    VNM

  • Veda Nath Mohabir  On March 9, 2020 at 11:08 pm

    What a joker (euphemism) he is. The whole world (including his US and other foreign powers’ pals who turned a blind eye earlier) is seeing how his cadres are trying to steal the elections for him (as they did in 2015 and several times since prior) and he barefacedly blames the opposition for subverting democracy.

    https://www.stabroeknews.com/2020/03/09/news/guyana/granger-says-wont-allow-political-malefactors-to-highjack-our-democracy/

    Ii is guaranteed there would be huge trouble ahead unless they do the ethical thing and step down. Hope for Guyana is dim with them as it was under Burnham (his mentor’s) power trip. Oil will NOT save Guyana.

    Robbers, with deadly terror, they have been since the 60’s and robbers they still are.

    VNM

    • Emanuel  On March 9, 2020 at 11:57 pm

      At the same time, Guyana cannot have the corrupt Jagdeo behind the wheel.

  • Veda Nath Mohabir  On March 10, 2020 at 11:13 am

    Jagdeo’s update re Region 4. – Grangers’s Police state

    VNM

  • Veda Nath Mohabir  On March 10, 2020 at 11:27 am

    Susan Rodrigues, Joseph Hamilton and Priya Manikchand”s update

    VNM

  • Veda Nath Mohabir  On March 10, 2020 at 12:48 pm

    Freddie Kissoon convinced PPP won the elections.

    Freddie should be aware he could get a severe thrashing for publishing that opinion.
    In an earlier elections, a PNC deputy PM was given a severe thshing at Congress place for conceding the PPP won.

    Read it here.

    “I firmly and consciously believe the PPP won the election”
    Mar 10, 2020

    https://www.kaieteurnewsonline.com/2020/03/10/i-firmly-and-consciously-believe-the-ppp-won-the-election/

    VNM

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