America escalates trade war with China – By Rosaliene Bacchus

Three Worlds One Vision

China Shipping Line at the Port of Los Angeles - California

China Shipping Line at the Port of Los Angeles – California – USA
Photo Credit: Reuters/Lucy Nicholson

America’s trade war with China is now official. On July 6th, the US Trade Representative (USTR) announced that an additional 818 Chinese goods, amounting to approximately $34 billion, now face a 25 percent import tax on arrival at US ports. Goods affected include Chinese-made vehicles, aircraft, boats, engines, and heavy equipment. Check the USTR website for the complete list.

“We must take strong defensive actions to protect America’s leadership in technology and innovation against the unprecedented threat posed by China’s theft of our intellectual property, the forced transfer of American technology, and its cyber-attacks on our computer networks,” said US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on June 15th.  “China’s government is aggressively working to undermine America’s high-tech industries and our economic leadership through unfair trade practices and industrial policies…”

In retaliation, China…

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  • ANTICONQUISTA  On July 8, 2018 at 9:14 pm

    Latin America and the Caribbean should move away from trading with the U.S. and move toward solidarity with the People’s Republic of China

    • walter  On July 9, 2018 at 5:36 pm

      WHAT! that’s funny, modern day pirates, and that is being nice

  • Clyde Duncan  On July 9, 2018 at 12:51 am

    Perhaps, we should spare the American the pain and humiliation and call it what it is – Traitor Trump’s Trade Wars …

    Hello Canadians, and the Halifax community:

    I am one of those Americans who unexpectedly but fortuitously visited with you from Sept. 11-13, 2001 — I was a passenger on an Air France flight from Paris en route to Philadelphia.

    My experience in Halifax has been life-changing. The efficiency, generosity and kindness of you Canadians was mind-boggling in the face of a challenge of epic proportions during the 9-11 terrorist attacks on America.

    I came away from the experience in admiration, awed and extremely appreciative. At the time, I wrote a letter to the mayor of Halifax, expressing my sincere appreciation.

    Today, I write you again to say that I, all of my American friends, and all of the Americans I encounter disagree wholeheartedly with our “leader” in his vitriolic characterization of your country, your prime minister and you Canadian people.

    Very little that President Donald Trump utters is of value, truth or significance.

    Our country is experiencing his presidency with what appears to be an increasingly large majority that is horrified and eager to move beyond this disastrous period.

    We hope you won’t take these insults as anything other than the ludicrous ranting of our “would-be king.”

    He is not worth the anger or frustration that he must cause you. Rather, dwell on the relationships of the past, including the co-operation between our two countries during your own disaster, the 1917 Halifax Explosion, and your incredible assistance in 2001.

    Those are more typical and noteworthy.

    Once again, I thank you for your humanitarian efforts toward me and my fellow travellers.

    Alan G. Ringgold, Cape Cod, Mass.

  • Clyde Duncan  On July 10, 2018 at 12:57 am

    Why Donald Trump’s Trade War Will Fail

    Despite the president’s assurances, trade wars are bad — and impossible to win

    Derek Thompson | The Atlantic

    Sometimes in soccer, an attempt to defend one’s turf results in a score for the opposing team — an “own goal”. There have already been nine such incidents of self-sabotage in the 2018 World Cup, by far the most in the history of the tournament. But you won’t find the most spectacular example of the summer on the pitch in Russia.

    That distinction goes to Donald Trump’s administration, whose determination to start a trade war with China is, like the best own goals in soccer, muscular in its approach, blind in its aim, and self-injurious in its consequences.

    After months of warnings and threats and failed negotiations with China, United States officials have started collecting tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods.

    In response, Beijing has said that it will retaliate with levies on American pork, soybeans, and cars.

    In response to that response, Trump has promised to re-retaliate by applying tariffs to more than $200 billion worth of goods from China if Beijing follows through.

    This sort of volley is dramatically referred to as a trade war, but it might be more productive to think of it as an international tax standoff.

    The vocabulary around trade is filled with specialized terms like tariff, levies, and retaliatory measures. But a tariff is simply a tax paid by companies that import foreign goods. This has the effect of raising prices on foreign stuff, theoretically making domestic industries more competitive.

    A quick example: A U.S. tariff on alcohol from Scotland raises the price of scotch for American drinkers. That punishes scotch fans like me, but it helps American whiskey distillers by making bourbon more attractive to consumers.

    “Trade wars are good and easy to win,” Trump has said.

    Let’s consider those adjectives, one at a time. First, trade wars are not “good” in any meaningful sense of the word. The damage from Trump’s tariffs has been widely reported.

    Harley-Davidson announced that it will move some production overseas to offset European Union tariffs. Banks have postponed investments in new American factories for fear that they’ll be caught in the crossfire. Whiskey distilleries are worried that new tariffs will dry up exports to Asia and Europe. Maybe none of these fears will materialize and, in six months, the effects of these tariffs will be barely perceptible.

    Or maybe Trump will look up to see the ball in the back of his own net: Of the 30 congressional districts hit hardest by China’s retaliatory tariffs, 25 voted for Trump.

    Second, a trade war is indeed “easy to win” — if you’re taxing imports from, say, a tiny island led by a weak government going into an uncertain election with no means of bailing out its weakened industries.

    China has none of those distinctions. It is a massive socialist market economy, led by an undemocratic leadership facing no electoral pressure, which spends oodles of money subsidizing its domestic businesses, all the time.

    As film buffs know, “Never get involved in a land war in Asia” refers to one of history’s classic blunders; only slightly less well-known is “Never go in against a socialist market economy when midterms are on the line.”

    So what exactly is President Trump trying to accomplish here?

    It’s important to state that American and European companies have real gripes with China, which has spied on foreign companies and forced Western tech firms to hand over patented technology as a condition for selling into the Chinese market.

    Pressuring China to change course will take a coordinated global effort, a careful construction of alliances around the world, and a cautious approach to nudging China toward lowering its barriers to entry.

    But rather than cultivating alliances, Trump is smashing them left and right. He’s raised taxes on steel imports from Canada and the EU and trashed the NATO alliance, at the very time that the China problem begs for international assistance

    The tactics and the strategy are going in opposite directions.

    “Trump is inflicting genuine economic costs on the country without necessarily achieving any particular goals,” says Josh Meltzer, a senior fellow in the Global Economy and Development program at the Brookings Institution. “Instead, we’ve raised tariffs on our allies and alienated them, which has allowed China to portray us as the global outlier.”

    In the larger analysis, Trump’s presidency and Chinese trade have a significant, if latent, historical connection.

    In the early 2000s, Americans started buying significantly more goods from China after it joined the World Trade Organization, in 2001.

    Prices fell for most consumers, but exposure to the Chinese market also destroyed millions of jobs, especially in cities with a large manufacturing presence.

    Years later, those very cities became significantly more likely to vote for Donald Trump, according to research by the economist David Autor. So it is not hyperbolic to say that trade with China, and its effect on the labor force, helped elect Trump.

    But there are better ways to ameliorate displaced manufacturing workers than waging a trade war against the entire world.

    A stronger safety net, universal benefits, and a federal strategy to pay people to move to different cities would all help soften the acute effects of globalization for workers in certain industries.

    “The U.S.A. has not done well with moving people around, helping them skill up, preventing free trade from leading to political backlash,” Meltzer says. “You need to have a more comprehensive system in place to help workers who have lost their jobs, and the U.S.A. has never done that well.”

    U.S.A. economic policy has failed to make globalization safe for democracy.

    In such a scenario, an own goal does not seem like such a surprising error.

    Defenders are more likely to kick the ball into their own net when there’s nowhere else to turn.

  • Clyde Duncan  On October 9, 2018 at 6:42 pm

    Chinese Military Strategist Attacks Trump’s ‘Outdated Imperialist Thinking’

    The USA ‘is declining because they have many problems, all of which were created by themselves’, says Unrestricted Warfare co-author Qiao Liang

    Minnie Chan | South China Morning Post

    A Chinese military strategist who co-wrote a book that inspired former White House political adviser Steve Bannon to conclude China was waging an economic war against the United States criticised the “outdated and stupid imperialist thinking” that led USA President Trump to launch the trade war.

    Taking aim at Trump’s blaming of China for numerous USA challenges, Qiao Liang, co-author of Unrestricted Warfare, said the US “is declining because they have so many problems, which were all created by themselves, but they put the blame on China … because they are still using outdated and stupid imperialist thinking to judge China”.

    Qiao accused Trump of mixing up his personal motivations – conflating his bid to help fellow members of the Republican Party prevail in the upcoming USA midterm elections with his decision to enter a trade war with Beijing.

    “The USA became a superpower because of its competitiveness and better systems, not by creating hurdles to drag down its competitors,” he said.

    But rather than sticking to that model, the USA was now trying to “create more obstacles to drag China down and maintain its No 1 status”, Qiao said, referring to the punitive tariffs the USA imposed on Chinese goods to launch the trade war.

    Published in 1999, Unrestricted Warfare discusses America’s vulnerabilities and suggests non-traditional military ways to defeat a superpower like the USA.

    Bannon told the South China Morning Post in a recent interview that the book – which gained the subtitle China’s Master Plan to Destroy America when it was translated into English by an Indian publisher in 2008 – inspired him to conclude that “China was engaging in economic warfare” against the USA.

    He was not alone. Many China-friendly American experts reconsidered their view of China after reading Unrestricted Warfare, according to The Hundred Year Marathon: China’s Secret Strategy to Replace America as the Global Superpower, a 2015 book by Michael Pillsbury, director of the Centre on Chinese Strategy at the Hudson Institute, a conservative Washington think tank.

    But Qiao dismissed that interpretation as “a misjudgment”, saying his book sought to advise weak countries on how to deal with major powers, and warn big countries not to use “imperialist thinking” when dealing with problems.

    “The core criterion that decides which countries become superpowers is their national thinking,” said Qiao, who co-wrote his book with Wang Xiangsui, another Chinese military strategist.

    “Unrestricted Warfare summarised Chinese national thinking and provided an insight into people’s thoughts.”

    Once labelled China’s leading hawk by his Western counterparts, Qiao said the strategic thinking illuminated in Unrestricted Warfare was traditional in China and had been applied in many fields.

    Notably, strategic thinking inspired The Art of War, an ancient Chinese text on military strategy written by Sun Tze in about 512BC.

    Nevertheless, Qiao said he and Wang never doubted their book would create worldwide controversy once it was published.

    He also said that Trump blaming China for America’s problems was misguided.

    “No major power has ever been totally replaced or devoured by another power,” he said. “A superpower’s fall was caused by its decline.”

    For instance, the USA replaced Britain as the world’s biggest economy in the 19th century, but Britain is still around, he said.

    “All superpowers are just fading when they are replaced; they do not disappear,” Qiao said. “Russia is still there in the aftermath of the collapse of Soviet Union.”

    The US would do well to emulate China by adopting a development model based on “unrestricted thinking”, he said.

    Qiao cited China’s late leader Deng Xiaoping’s idea of a taoguang yanghui (lie low) policy, which advocated building economic rather than military strength, which remains a guiding principle of the country’s foreign and security affairs.

  • walter  On October 10, 2018 at 10:34 am

    Better hope that the U S stands up to those crooks, declining or not, does not change the fact that CHINA is nothing but a large predator willing to walk over any country with crooked, and weak leaders.

  • Clyde Duncan  On October 12, 2018 at 12:13 am

    When you have an Incompetent Government – Dis Happens: …..

    Here’s a trade war milestone: The tax increases resulting from Trump tariffs now exceed the tax increases that came with Obamacare.

    So say Bryan Riley and Andrew Wilford from the National Taxpayers Union Foundation, writing in the Washington Examiner, which isn’t exactly a left-wing outfit, last we checked.

    The tipping point, they say, was the Sept. 19 announcement of a 10% levy on $200 billion of Chinese imports.

    With the added $20 billion in trade taxes coming from this latest round of tariffs, the National Taxpayers Union Foundation now estimates the total annual cost of enacted Trump tariffs to be $41.65 billion.

    That easily outpaces the tax bill from the Affordable Care Act for next year ($34.6 billion) after accounting for recent changes to the ACA.

    Next year, they estimate the tariffs will total $132.55 billion, dwarfing the $67.2 billion tax burden from Obamacare.

    The 5 Minute Forecast

    NB: I am no accountant, but it is arithmetic, stupid.

    clyde

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