I was wrong: Trump WILL be the next president – By Jake Novak- CNBC

I was wrong: Trump WILL be the next president
Jake Novak | @jakejakeny
Donald TrumpThursday, 2 Jun 2016 | 1:10 PM ET – CNBC.com

A few months ago, I wrote that Donald Trump would win the GOP presidential nomination – but that would be the end of the line for him. I was sure that Trump just couldn’t shore up enough of the already too small Republican base to win in November, thus nearly guaranteeing not only a loss but a big loss to Hillary Clinton in the general election.

Well, I was wrong.     

In the 80-odd days since I wrote that piece, I’ve been seeing more and more evidence of why my predictions for Trump’s demise were wrong — and that his chances of winning in the general election look pretty decent.  [Read more]

Post a comment or leave a trackback: Trackback URL.


  • michael hawkins  On 06/04/2016 at 3:47 am

    That could be fun.

  • Thinker  On 06/04/2016 at 2:17 pm

    I honestly doubt that Trump will win given the number of groups he has alienated, his outright lying, and his general ignorance. If he actually does, Americans have only themselves to blame. They will have refused to make the effort to understand what their real self-interests are and settled for simplistic and fallacious garbage..

  • Rosaliene Bacchus  On 06/04/2016 at 2:55 pm

    I agree with Novak that we the people have underestimated the power of marketing for success. With the electoral campaign now in full force here in California where I live, I’m subjected to a daily onslaught of a Clinton radio ad (I listen to music while I work) which begins with Trump’s outlandish attacks on Mexicans and Muslims. Then Clinton tells me that she’s the best candidate to keep Trump out of the White House. What she has forgotten is that Trump has already branded her as “crooked Hillary.”

    There’s definitely nothing presidential about this year’s electoral campaign. May the gods look kindly on the working people of America.

    • Albert  On 06/04/2016 at 4:29 pm

      Yes Rose but what has she been crooked about? The media has only now began to stand up to Trump. Hillary has began to respond to him in an intelllectually derogatory way to which he cannot respond….except with personal attacks which would fade.
      Pray for our children sake that she is elected. I have no country to return to..

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/04/2016 at 8:03 pm

    There is absolutely nothing wrong with Jake Novak’s opinion

    – What is wrong is your reactions

    – Clinton-Sanders are still dealing with their Primaries

    When that is done – the real competition for the White House begins ….

    Then the candidates will have a different kettle of fish to fry …..

    Thinker, is on the right track!

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/04/2016 at 8:21 pm

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/04/2016 at 9:06 pm

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/04/2016 at 10:22 pm

    Hillary Clinton’s New Campaign Plan: Slug Donald Trump Where It Hurts

    Lucia Graves – The Guardian UK

    Hillary Clinton’s foreign policy speech Thursday doubled as her sharpest attack yet this election season on Donald Trump. She went after the man she repeatedly, dismissively called “Donald” with an arsenal of witty one liners and denunciations.

    As Clinton spoke on a stage in San Diego flanked by rows of American flags, her words seemed to transcend the realm of foreign policy, foreshadowing the blunt, incisive and decidedly patriotic approach she’d take in the general election. And with her combination of gravitas and sharp rhetoric, it looks increasingly like she may be the one person able to pull off what no one in the Republican primary ever could: mount the definitive assault on Trump’s tough-guy image.

    Speaking just days before the primary vote in California, Clinton already seemed intent on campaigning in the general, saying she would “leave it to the psychiatrists to explain [Donald Trump’s] affection for tyrants”, and that the trouble for Trump when it comes to foreign policy and everything else is that “this isn’t reality television – THIS IS REALITY.”

    Gone was any nod to Democratic rival Bernie Sanders, who is only barely behind her in California polls of Democrats, and leads her handily with independents and younger voters. This despite the impressively potent challenge the Vermont senator has mounted against her throughout the primary season.

    The speech was also something of a departure in tone for the usually serious and sombre Clinton. Her approach was at times flippant and even sarcastic, with the audience whooping and hollering. At one point, there was even a call-and-response.

    Clinton has previously sought to cast herself as the “steady hand” steering US foreign policy, and with this speech she continued in that vein, drawing out questions of temperament and character and consistency – you may not like me, she seemed to say, but you can’t trust Donald Trump to take care of our country.

    After all it’s hard to know exactly what his approach to foreign policy would be. (He’s made noises about opposing American interventionism only to speak out in favour of over-the-top violence later.)

    And then there’s the issue of his bigotry and xenophobia as they pertain to national security.

    Recalling the time he referred to Mexican immigrants as rapists and called for a national ban of all Muslims, Clinton reminded her audience how poorly such comments would play with allies like Pope Francis or the President of Mexico. “He praises dictators like Vladimir Putin and picks fights with our friends,” she observed, adding, “He says he has foreign policy experience because he ran the Miss Universe pageant in Russia.”

    Clinton also talked up her own record, noting that she visited 112 countries as Secretary of State and stood up for the rights of women and LGBT people around the world.

    Sanders in the primary has gone after Clinton for her relatively hawkish foreign policy record. And Clinton showed no signs of shying away from any of that in Thursday’s speech. But ultimately she spent very little time with her own record for the simple reason that she doesn’t really need to. All she needs to do is talk about Trump’s judgement, and the picture she wants to leave voters with – paints itself.

    No sooner had Clinton begun attacking his foreign policy prowess Thursday, for instance, than Trump was out on Twitter calling her “crooked” and saying she “doesn’t look presidential”. Clinton didn’t need to read the tweets to know he would do that; she was ahead of him, asking the gathered crowd to engage in a little thought experiment with her.

    Imagine Donald Trump sitting in the situation room, only instead of just his Twitter account, he controlled the nuclear codes, she said. “Do we want his finger anywhere near the button?”

    The answer from the crowd was a resounding, “No!”

    Nobody got past that terrifying image of Trump’s hands on the nuclear codes to ask what anyone else would do in the same position.

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/05/2016 at 7:15 am

    Obama Calls on Democrats to “RUN SCARED THE WHOLE TIME”

    White House officials say the President is ready to get off the sidelines and become an active player on the campaign trail, where he will be welcomed in traditional Democratic strongholds and key battleground states.

    Kevin Freking – Haaretz

    AP – Wooing Democratic donors Friday in South Florida, President Barack Obama said the coming election is taking place in a “fascinating media environment” in which “strange things can happen” because celebrity and fame drive so much of the news coverage.

    Obama said he generally just watches sports on television, but his staff told him presumptive GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump generated 70 percent of recent news coverage. He called on Democrats to develop a sense of urgency.

    “I WANT US TO RUN SCARED THE WHOLE TIME,” Obama said at a fundraiser for the Democratic National Committee.

    Obama’s remarks come as party leaders expect Hillary Clinton, his former Secretary of State, to clinch the Democratic presidential nomination in the coming days. Clinton has 2,313 of the 2,383 delegates needed to win the nomination, putting her ahead of Bernie Sanders. Contests in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend, and California, New Jersey and other states Tuesday, are expected to put her over the top.

    Obama has tried to avoid showing favouritism in the race – wary of turning off Sanders supporters while votes are still being cast. But that pose is certain to shift quickly once Clinton is declared the presumptive nominee.

    White House officials say the president is ready to get off the sidelines and become an active player on the campaign trail. Enjoying an uptick in his approval rating, Obama is likely to be welcomed by Clinton and Senate candidates in traditional Democratic strongholds and key battleground states.

    In addition to raising money for Democrats, Obama has road-tested early versions of his stump speech. He’s shown himself ready to mock Trump, casting the race as a choice between continuing along the path he charted to economic recovery or veering off into dangerous territory.

    Obama said if the focus is on the economy, then “THIS ELECTION SHOULDN’T BE CLOSE.”

    He participated in two Florida fundraisers Friday. The first, closed to the press, raised money for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. The committee is spearheading efforts designed to help Democrats pick up the five seats needed to retake the majority in the Senate. With Republican Sen. Marco Rubio currently opting to not seek re-election, the Senate race in Florida is viewed as intensely competitive.

    The committee said tickets for the fundraiser were $19,400 a person and it was the ninth event Obama has held for the organization during the current election cycle. Rep. Patrick Murphy, one of the Democratic candidates for the Florida Senate seat, attended, as did Democratic Sens. Bill Nelson of Florida and Ron Wyden of Oregon.

    Obama then attended the DNC fundraiser at the home of lawyer Robert Rubenstein. DNC officials said about 90 people attended and tickets ranged from $10,000 to $30,000.

  • Gigi  On 06/05/2016 at 1:22 pm

    @Clyde, copying and pasting ENTIRE articles to do your thinking and talking for you perpetuates the lazy and dumb stereotype that you should/might want to distance yourself from if you actually want people to take you seriously, particularly since you continue to use mainstream propaganda to do your thinking and talking for you. Although I will still disagree with you, I will give you credit for some level of intelligence. Here are some helpful hints to use in future:

    1) you should write an intro and then use EXCERPT of the article you are using to support your claim, faulty though it may be. If you have a difficult time comprehending the article, read it several times (I do this, there is no shame attached to it) as this will/should strengthen comprehension to allow you to select parts and AGAIN, NOT THE ENTIRE ARTICLE.

    2) If you want to link several pieces of the article that will result in omitting words, phrases, entire sentences/paragraphs, use ellipsis […] and provide the link for your reader to click on.

    3) Try to include original thinking to show that you are capable of thinking for yourself and you are no just regurgitating others opinions and or talking points.

    4) Most thinking people are generally skeptical and distrustful of mainstream corporate media so if you want to engage with thinking people, avoid too much reliance of this news outlet.

    5) Research your source for partisan bias AND their true purpose for writing if you want to be taken intellectually. If they are loyal party members. then theirs is based on emotional thinking, which is subjective (e.g. I’m a PPP supporter by default because of the emotional trauma inflected upon my family by the PNC degenerates. Hence I support a two state separation to distance PPPites from and effectively eliminate the PNC uncultured identity further devaluing our people. I agree with Albert in that as Guyana stands, I have no country to come back to or identify with. But I would like to). If your sources are paid shills and hacks, their authenticity is compromised.

    @thinker, I see you are again defaulting to your favorite/only “big” word in your vocabulary. If you look up the synonym for your word and use these words interchangeably, you will no come off as dumb and lazy, a stereotype you also do not want to perpetuate.

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/05/2016 at 2:52 pm

    Gigi: I have written and posted a few essays on Guyanese Online.

    But you would rather criticize, condemn and complain

    – That is what FOOLS do!!

  • Thinker  On 06/05/2016 at 5:19 pm

    @ Gigi, “fallacious” is a big word? But then you probably think “phallic” is one too.

  • Albert  On 06/05/2016 at 6:34 pm

    @Gigi: Brutal. Seem like a page from Hillary Clinton to Trump.
    Always suspected you had a crazy, brainy Potugee streak in you. At least its not “crazy crazy” but brainy crazy.

    • Thinker  On 06/05/2016 at 8:47 pm

      Albert, Gigi is a died in the wool racist insulting Blacks at every opportunity because of what nearly happened to her mother in Guyana, and you find words of praise because she is of part Portuguese origin! You must be a masochist. Every Black person is expected by her o be “stereotypical” and dumb. Do you intend to live up to her expectations?

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/05/2016 at 7:55 pm

    Awe shoot, Albert!

    Now you gone and flatter her – I don’t think Potugee people want her in their tribe

    – and “… a page from Hillary Clinton …”? – ha – ha – ha! – NOT in this lifetime.

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/06/2016 at 2:36 am

    Thinker: Albert lives in the Deep South of the USA – so he is what Gigi has repeatedly referred to as an “Uncle Tom”.

    *I am just trying to save you the time of researching her nonsense on this thread.

  • Albert  On 06/06/2016 at 1:51 pm

    Sorry fellows but in my old age it has become difficult to respond with rudeness or be impolite.If I was given a $1 every time I heard a racial insult I would be rich. Gigi racial anger is her bagguage, not mine. If you want to be angry and take her on good luck. For me life is too short.

  • Albert  On 06/06/2016 at 2:33 pm

    @Clyde, you admire Obama but you should also learn from him. Did you notice that one of his attributes is having a “ thick skin”. When someone succeeds in getting you to respond to their problem with anger, they win. …just as Gigi has won with you.

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/06/2016 at 7:01 pm

    Oh REALLY, Albert!!

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/07/2016 at 12:35 am

    BuzzFeed Ditches Republican Ad Deal:
    Like Cigarettes, Trump Is ‘Bad for Our Health’

    BuzzFeed CEO cites policy on cigarette ads to justify cutting $1.3 million ads for the Rebulican National Committee in light of Trump’s impending nomination.

    Angela Moon – Haaretz

    REUTERS – Online media outlet BuzzFeed has pulled out of an advertising deal reported to be worth $1.3 million with the Republican National Committee over objections to the party’s presumptive nominee Donald Trump.

    In an e-mail to employees on Monday, BuzzFeed founder and CEO Jonah Peretti wrote: “We don’t run cigarette ads because they are hazardous to our health, and we won’t accept Trump ads for the same reason.”

    “The Trump campaign is directly opposed to the freedoms of our employees in the United States and around the world and in some cases, such as his proposed ban on international travel for Muslims, would make it impossible for our employees to do their jobs,” Peretti wrote in the note, which was posted to BuzzFeed.com.

    BuzzFeed declined further comment.

    Neither BuzzFeed nor the RNC would confirm the exact value of the deal, reported by Politico to be $1.3 million.

    According to an RNC official who declined to be identified, the deal was less than 1 percent of the party’s ad budget of about $150 million and was effectively a reservation for ad space, not a firm commitment to place ads with BuzzFeed.

    Trump’s campaign spokeswoman Hope Hicks said she had “nothing to add.”

    The RNC provides national leadership for the Republican Party. Trump is expected to be officially nominated as the party’s candidate for the November 8 U.S.A. presidential election at the Republican National Convention in July.

  • Clyde Duncan  On 06/07/2016 at 1:14 pm

    President Obama Had A Long Talk With Bernie Sanders
    – by TobyRocksSoHard – Daily Kos

    It is being reported that Sanders took a call from President Obama on Sunday, stopping his press bus and heading out of earshot of press and aides to speak.


    The Vermont senator took the president’s call on the side of the road in the financial district in San Francisco, at around 2:30 p.m. ET. Atwood said that as the press bus drove by, Sanders could be seen standing on Market Street, legal pad in hand, as he talked on a cell phone.

    Sanders, appropriately, did not mention any details of the private conversation with the President, but it seems incredibly unlikely that they were discussing anything other than Presidential politics.

    With the news breaking that President Obama is preparing to endorse Hillary (perhaps as soon as this week) it is a good bet that President Obama was informing Sanders of his plans to endorse and to help him figure out a graceful way to exit the race and unite the party.

    On top of all this, news broke earlier today that Sanders plans to return home to Vermont on Wednesday to ‘assess’ his path forward after Clinton clinches the nomination Tuesday evening.


    All things considered, it looks like the party is coming together behind their nominee. President Obama is giving Sanders help in landing the plane rather than crashing it in Philadelphia.

    We don’t know if President Obama started the call with “look” or “let me be clear” but he made an impression. Of course, he is the President of the USA.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: